Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000915 0.000951 0.000988 0.001028 0.001071 0.001115 0.001164
2025-10-05 0.000827 0.000878 0.000931 0.000991 0.001057 0.001128 0.001210
2025-10-12 0.000781 0.000843 0.000909 0.000987 0.001075 0.001172 0.001289
2025-10-19 0.000744 0.000814 0.000892 0.000984 0.001091 0.001213 0.001365
2025-10-26 0.000710 0.000786 0.000872 0.000975 0.001099 0.001243 0.001427
2025-11-02 0.000687 0.000769 0.000862 0.000977 0.001117 0.001284 0.001504
2025-11-09 0.000661 0.000746 0.000843 0.000966 0.001119 0.001305 0.001555
2025-11-16 0.000637 0.000724 0.000826 0.000956 0.001119 0.001323 0.001602
2025-11-23 0.000629 0.000721 0.000829 0.000970 0.001151 0.001381 0.001705
2025-11-30 0.000615 0.000710 0.000824 0.000973 0.001167 0.001419 0.001783
2025-12-07 0.000596 0.000692 0.000808 0.000961 0.001164 0.001431 0.001823
2025-12-14 0.000577 0.000673 0.000790 0.000947 0.001156 0.001435 0.001852
2025-12-21 0.000563 0.000660 0.000779 0.000940 0.001159 0.001455 0.001907
2025-12-28 0.000537 0.000632 0.000749 0.000908 0.001126 0.001423 0.001883
2026-01-04 0.000526 0.000622 0.000741 0.000905 0.001132 0.001447 0.001944
2026-01-11 0.000516 0.000612 0.000734 0.000903 0.001138 0.001471 0.002006
2026-01-18 0.000504 0.000601 0.000724 0.000895 0.001138 0.001484 0.002053
2026-01-25 0.000496 0.000595 0.000720 0.000897 0.001149 0.001516 0.002131
2026-02-01 0.000485 0.000583 0.000709 0.000888 0.001146 0.001524 0.002169
2026-02-08 0.000474 0.000572 0.000698 0.000878 0.001141 0.001531 0.002206
2026-02-15 0.000472 0.000572 0.000703 0.000891 0.001169 0.001589 0.002334
2026-02-22 0.000466 0.000568 0.000700 0.000893 0.001182 0.001624 0.002424
2026-03-01 0.000456 0.000557 0.000689 0.000883 0.001175 0.001626 0.002456